Categoryforecasting

Those who followed us in public media know that we expressed a strong bearish opinion on U.S. equities during the second half of 2019. We expected a drop towards the December 2018 low. Eventually, our bearish stance proved entirely correct. The S&P 500 hit our target in March 2020.

We shared an analysis that projected a sharp sell-off in WTI crude on February 10th, 2020. That proved correct and oil tumbled from one low the the next. Eventually, history was written as the shortest future contract on WTI traded in negative territory during April 2020.

The bond market was an early indicator of the past recessions. We anticipated that pattern to repeat. Therefore, our initial target for the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was 1% in March 2019. Bond yields fell sharply and our 1% target was reached within the next year.

We were bullish on Bitcoin and forecasted higher highs up until December 8th. 2017. That day we projected one last swing to the upside, which we forecasted to be at least a major if not the final top for the Bitcoin.   On December 17th, 2017 Bitcoin hit its all-time high. The cryptocurrency subsequently lost …

We were bullish on the Euro throughout the 2017 cycle. On February 8th 2018, we forecasted one last swing into the 1.255-1.265 area before the cycle is complete and reverses. The EUR/USD went straight into our target eight days later. A reversal occurred on February 16th, 2018. Subsequently, a bullish U.S. Dollar cycle unfolded. The …

We shared a long asymmetric risk/reward idea for silver with our clients on November 15th, 2018. The nearest silver future was trading slightly below $14 back then. The setup was motivated by the prevailing market sentiment in combination with a technical pattern. It showed a 3% risk for a large double-digit potential gain. Silver rallied …